Slay the Spire · card reward screen

Reward Screen Odds

A logistic regression fit separately for every character/card pair offered at the reward screen, controlling for HP ratio, floor, relic count, and ascension level at the moment of the pick. The 579 cards below are the ones where picking the card cleared four bars: the fit converged, the card belongs to the character it's credited to (rather than a rare off-class Prismatic Shard pick), the effect survived Benjamini–Hochberg FDR correction, and the odds ratio moved outside [0.9, 1.1] — not just statistically significant, but large enough to matter.

Strongest effects

Odds ratio for picking the card vs. passing on it, log scale — the dashed line at 1.0 means no effect. Dot is the point estimate, whiskers are the 95% confidence interval. Showing the 15 strongest positive and 15 strongest negative effects for the selected character. Card names link to the Slay the Spire Wiki where a match was found.

All 579 cards

Search by card name, filter by character, or click a column to sort.

Character ▾	Card ▾	n ▾	Odds ratio ▾	95% CI	p-value ▾	q-value ▾

Built from 6.17M standard Slay the Spire runs (September–December 2020). odds_ratio > 1 means the pick is associated with higher win odds after controlling for run state at decision time; < 1 means lower. Non-converged fits (quasi/complete separation on small, lopsided card groups) and off-class picks (a card offered outside its own character via the Prismatic Shard relic) are excluded rather than reported.